The number of Covid cases in the UK has surged, but now it has fallen sharply

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On April 28, 2021, a doctor monitors a Covid-19 patient in the Covid-19 intensive care unit of a German community hospital.

Ronnie Hartman | AFP | Getty Images

London-The United Kingdom has one of the worst Covid-19 incidence rates in the world, an enviable title, with a surge in cases in recent months.

But its fate seems to be changing.

Less than a month ago, the number of new cases recorded in the UK every day was between 40,000 and 50,000, prompting experts and officials to issue dire warnings that hospitals are facing increasing pressure and excessive deaths.

On October 20, the British Health Minister Sajid Javid warned that as the winter progresses, Covid cases may climb to 100,000 a day. Doctors said that the national health service system is heading for a crisis. Already exhausted and overwhelmed.

To make matters worse, public health experts warn that they are monitoring for mutations in the already highly contagious delta variant, which may make Covid more toxic.

But the latest data from the United Kingdom shows that the country may be recovering from the latest wave of cases. Experts say that the United Kingdom has just seen the biggest weekly drop in the number of new coronary pneumonia cases in 2021.

The biggest weekly drop this year

Government data shows that while the Covid case rate in the UK is still high—and worryingly high for many people—the data seems to be improving.

On Wednesday, the United Kingdom recorded 39,329 new Covid cases, and in the past 7 days, a total of more than 237,000 Covid cases have been reported. Although the number is large, the figures for the next 7 days are down by nearly 15% compared to the previous 7-day period from October 28 to November 3.

According to the average incidence data of the ZOE COVID study, which collects and analyzes British Covid test data, there are currently 72,546 new symptomatic Covid cases every day.

According to the study, this is an 18% reduction from the 88,592 new cases per day last week, adding that the number of cases in most age groups has dropped sharply.

“The number of new cases per day continues to show a sharp decline in the number of cases among people aged 0-18 years, which is the driving factor for the initial increase in the overall number of cases and the recent decline. There is still an increase in the number of cases among people aged 20-29 years, but 35-55 Cases in the age group are beginning to decline. Cases over 55 years of age are leveling off.”

Professor Tim Spector, the chief scientist of ZOE COVID research, said that these data are positive, but they need to be viewed in perspective. He also urged the eligible public to accept the proposal for enhanced injections, which experts believe will also help the UK’s case rate drop.

“This decline in cases is the largest weekly decline we have seen throughout the year, and it is due to the continued decline in child cases in the past two weeks. However, the cases are still high, and worryingly, we still see Up to 8% of the hospital beds, so the mortality rate is high,” he said on Thursday.

Specter said that as we enter the cold months, ​​“we see a lot of diseases in the population, widespread cold outbreaks, and Covid levels are still high.” Given the difference between the two, it’s hard to know The difference between the two. Both have similar symptoms (people who are vaccinated tend to have milder cases, including sneezing, headaches, and runny nose, similar to a cold.)

Highlights of Europe?

Government data show that for most of the pandemic, the United Kingdom has been a black spot in the European pandemic. Its death toll from the new crown virus ranks eighth in the world, with 142,533 deaths so far.

To date, the United Kingdom has also recorded more than 9.4 million Covid cases. In the context of alpha and delta variants, it has been the first to bear the impact of two pandemic waves.

The UK’s bold authorization and launch of the Covid vaccine drew applause (it was one of the first countries in the world to launch the vaccine in December 2020), but its immunization efforts slowed down this summer and took place on the mainland. So far, 79.8% of the UK population over 12 years old have been fully vaccinated.

In neighbouring the Netherlands, an epidemiological advisory group recommended the implementation of Western Europe’s first partial lockdown since the summer, which put pressure on the Dutch government to take action to contain the soaring Covid cases. The government led by the caretaker prime minister Mark Rutte is expected to decide on what measures to implement on Friday.

read more: WHO warns that Europe is again at the center of the new coronavirus pandemic

In Italy and Spain, where the climate is warm, cases have also started to rise, but the level is low. As winter approaches, officials in these two countries are eager to avoid another wave of infections.

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